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19 August, 2024

Narrate nine differences between Bear Market and Bull Market

In a bear market investor sentiment is generally negative, characterized by fear, pessimism, and a lack of confidence in the market. Conversely, in a bull market, investor sentiment is positive, driven by optimism, confidence and a belief that stock prices will continue to rise.

A bear market often coincides with a weakening economy or an economic recession. The negative sentiment in the market reflects concerns about declining corporate profits, rising unemployment and slower economic growth. Conversely, a bull market is often associated with a strong economy characterized by robust GDP growth, low unemployment, and healthy corporate earnings.

Aspects

Bear Market

Bull Market

Market Sentiment

Negative

Positive

Price Trends

Failing Prices

Rising Prices

Investor Behavior

Cautious, selling stocks

Risk-taking, buying stocks

Economic Outlook

Weaking economy, recession

Strong economy, growth

Volatility

High

Low

Trading Volume

Often higher

Often lower

Investor Psychology

Fear, Pessimism

Confidence, optimism

Investment Strategies

Focus on Preservation, safe assets

Focus on growth, risker assets

Market Performance

Declining, below recent highs

Rising, often reaching new market highs

Difference between Foreign exchange forwards and foreign exchange swaps

 

Aspects

Foreign Exchange Forwards

Foreign Exchange Swaps

Definition

Agreements to buy and sell a currency at a future date at a predetermined exchange rate.

Simultaneous purchase and sale of a currency for two different dates.

Contract Maturity

Typically, has a fixed maturity date in future

Involves two transactions, a spot transaction and a reverse transaction, with different value dates.

Purpose

Used for hedging or speculation on future currency movements

Primarily used for managing exposure to currency risk over a specific period.

Flexibility

Less flexible since the terms are agreed upon and locked in advance.

Offers more flexibility as it involves both a spot and forward transaction.

Market Standardization

Can be customized between parties based on specific requirements.

May have standardized terms, especially in the interbank market.

Settlement

Settlement occurs at the maturity date and physical delivery of the currencies may take place

Involves a spot transaction followed by a forward transaction, settling on different value dates.

Cash Flows

Typically, no upfront cash flow at the initiation of the contract

Involves an upfront exchange of currencies at the initiation of the swap

Interest rate differential

The forward rate in influenced by the interest rate differential between the two currencies.

Reflects both the interest rate differential and the forward points, capturing the cost of carry for the currencies.

Primary Dealer (PD) and Authorize Dealer (AD)

 

Feature

Primary Dealer (PD)

Authorize Dealer (AD)

Definition

Primary Dealers are financial institutions authorized by a central bank or a government to participate directly in primary market for government securities

Authorized dealers are financial institutions authorized by a central bank to deal in foreign exchange and manage foreign exchange transactions

Primary Function

To underwrite and market new issues of government securities, ensuring the distribution and liquidity of government debt.

To facilitate foreign exchange transactions, including buying and selling foreign currencies and managing foreign exchange accounts.

Role in Monetary policy

Assist the central bank in implementing monetary policy by participating in open market operations (OMOs)

Support the central ban in managing the country’s foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate policies

Example of Transaction

Underwriting government bonds, T-bills, and other government securities; participating in auctions of government securities.

Buying and selling foreign currencies, issuing letters of credit, handling foreign remittances, and managing foreign currency accounts.

Risk Management

Manage interest rate risk, liquidity risk and credit risk associated with government securities.

Manage currency risk, credit risk and liquidity risk associated with foreign exchange transactions.

Impact on Financial Markets

Ensure the smooth functioning and liquidity of the government securities market, aiding in the implementation of fiscal and monetary policies.

Facilitating international trade and investment by providing foreign exchange services, contributing to the stability of the foreign exchange market.

Call Money and Short Notice Money

 

Feature

Call Money

Short Notice Money

Definition

Call Money refers to short-term loans that are repayable on demand typically within one day.

Short notice Money refers to short-term loans that are repayable at a short notice typically within 2 to 14 days.

Repayment terms

Repayable on demand without any prior notice

Repayable on a short notice, which could be a few days.

Purpose

Used to manage very short-term liquidity needs of banks and financial institutions

Used to manage short-term liquidity needs that are not as immediate as call money.

Interest rates

Interest rates are typically lower due to the very short duration and high liquidity

Interest rates are generally slightly higher than the call money rates due to a longer maturity

Usage by Banks

Commonly used by banks to manage overnight liquidity positions

Used by banks to manage short-term liquidity over a slightly longer horizon.

Regulatory considerations

Often subject to strict regulatory oversight due to its role in maintaining overnight liquidity

Also subject to regulatory oversight but to a lesser degree than call money.

Transaction volume

Generally high volume due to the frequent need for overnight funds

Lower volume compared to call money given longer repayment period.

Bid rate and Ask rate

Bid rate and Ask rate:

Bid Rate: The price a buyer is willing to pay for security or currency. It’s the highest price at which they prepared to purchase. Typically, lower than the asking rate and represents demand.

Ask Rate: The price a seller is willing to accept for a security or currency. It’s the lowest price at which they are prepared to sell. Typically, higher than the bid rate and represents supply.

Feature

Bid Rate

Ask Rate

Market Role

Represents the highest price a buyer is willing to pay

Represents the lowest price a seller is willing to accept

Participant’s perspective

From the buyer’s perspective: The price they are willing to pay.

From the seller’s perspective: The price they are willing to accept.

Price level

Generally lower than the ask rate

Generally higher than the bid rate

Profit margin

Used to calculate the buyer’s potential profit

Used to calculate the seller’s potential profit

Order Execution

 

Orders are executed at the bid rate when a seller agrees to sell at this price.

Orders are executed at the ask rate when a buyer agrees to buy at this price.

Transaction examples

If an investor wants to sell a stock immediately, they will sell it at the bid rate quoted by the market maker.

If an investor wants to buy a stock immediately, they will buy it at the ask rate quoted by the market maker.

Bid-Ask Spread

The difference between the bid rate and the ask rate is known as the bid-ask spread.

The spread is key indicator of market liquidity and transaction costs.

Impact of high liquidity

High liquidity typically leads to a smaller bid-ask spread, indicating tight competition among buyers.

High liquidity typically leads to a smaller bid-ask spread, indicting tight competition among sellers.

 

 

 

Difference between Primary Market and Secondary Market

 

Feature

Primary Market

Secondary Market

Function

The issuer (such as a corporation or government) sells securities directly to investors. This typically involves initial public offerings (IPOs) or new bond issues.

The issuer is not directly involved in the transaction. Instead, securities are bought and sold between investors, with no new funds going to the issuer.

Purpose

Funds raised in the primary market go directly to the issuer, which uses the capital for business expansion, debt repayment, or other corporate purposes.

Funds exchanged in the secondary market go to the seller of the securities, not the issuing company. It involves a transfer of ownership between investors.

Participants

Issuing companies, underwriters, institutional investors

Individual investors, institutional investors, brokers, dealers.

Regulation

The primary market has stringent regulatory requirements, including the filing of a prospectus, regulatory approvals and disclosures to protect investors. The process is overseen by regulatory bodies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States.

While the secondary market is also regulated to ensure fair trading practices and market integrity, the regulatory burden on each individual transaction is lower compared to the primary market.

Accessibility

Limited access for individual investors

More accessible to most investors

Costs

Issuers incur costs (fees)

Investors incur costs (commissions)

Example

Initial Public Offerings (IPO), private placement

Stock exchanges, over-the-counter (OTC) markets, etc.

Difference between Repo and Reverse Repo

 

Features

Repo (Repurchase Agreement)

Reverse Repo (Reverse Repurchase Agreement)

Definition

Repo is a purchase agreement and refers to the rate at which commercial banks borrow money by selling their securities to the central bank of our country

Reverse repo rate is when the Central Bank borrows money from banks when there is excess liquidity in the market. The banks benefit out of it by receiving interest for their holdings with the central bank

Purpose

Used by borrower to raise short-term capital by selling securities with a promise to repurchase them

Used by lenders to invest surplus funds for a short duration by purchasing securities with a promise to sell them back.

Primary users

Typically used by financial institutions, dealers and central banks to manage liquidity

Typically used by financial institutions dealers and central bank to manages excess liquidity

Impact on Money Supply

Repos decrease the money supply in the market as funds are borrowed and collateralized securities are sold

Reverse repos increase money supply in the market as funds are lent out and collateralized securities are purchased

Collateral

Securities (e.g. government bonds) are used as collateral, temporarily transferring ownership to the buyer

Securities (e.g. government bonds) are used as collateral, temporarily transferring ownership to the buyer

Regulation and usage by

Central banks use repo as a tool to inject liquidity into the banking system. For example, the Federal reserve conducts

Central banks use reverse repos as a tool to absorb excess liquidity from the banking system. For example, the Federal reserve